Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 12.712452 14.833110 17.146638 19.851225 22.919124 26.283780 30.245713
2025-07-20 9.649429 12.661104 16.281221 20.918832 26.664093 33.507254 42.230022
2025-07-27 7.677409 11.063004 15.455023 21.490898 29.478796 39.586121 53.223993
2025-08-03 6.217026 9.713872 14.555053 21.610793 31.468373 44.564747 63.052752
2025-08-10 5.007655 8.430387 13.458277 21.182150 32.501152 48.189755 71.212583
2025-08-17 4.066379 7.343880 12.431577 20.633733 33.183809 51.248510 78.680466
2025-08-24 3.317134 6.409248 11.467872 20.000643 33.588529 53.834589 85.545816
2025-08-31 2.673176 5.524006 10.435330 19.091827 33.414917 55.467429 91.028032
2025-09-07 2.369583 5.185182 10.252075 19.515878 35.335191 60.351418 101.652565
2025-09-14 2.101304 4.861516 10.042096 19.850317 37.105714 65.084521 112.299287
2025-09-21 1.789160 4.391154 9.495378 19.516011 37.693627 67.930041 120.099122
2025-09-28 1.488588 3.884962 8.804763 18.826875 37.577645 69.574004 126.009364
2025-10-05 1.396787 3.841641 9.057949 20.017691 41.054643 77.714027 143.549162
2025-10-12 1.286926 3.741439 9.194110 21.024194 44.338477 85.848170 161.771305
2025-10-19 1.152641 3.552754 9.114005 21.586426 46.839198 92.792340 178.412648
2025-10-26 1.005018 3.294644 8.838381 21.704612 48.484451 98.309068 192.894360
2025-11-02 0.845521 2.963221 8.338210 21.273976 48.991253 101.765847 203.910810
2025-11-09 0.705363 2.647401 7.818039 20.723426 49.184236 104.623455 213.981933
2025-11-16 0.584124 2.352298 7.294267 20.087930 49.122335 106.964463 223.206618
2025-11-23 0.471755 2.049059 6.690596 19.175655 48.365008 107.878052 229.780070
2025-11-30 0.426083 1.958436 6.642815 19.601322 50.558453 114.738054 248.008227
2025-12-07 0.382606 1.862635 6.563760 19.937031 52.574510 121.358197 266.114952
2025-12-14 0.324883 1.693334 6.240090 19.601455 53.023526 124.800711 278.186456